{
  "slug": "wa-swis-distributed-energy-2030",
  "title": "WA / SWIS Distributed Energy to 2030: A Conditional Planning Range",
  "url": "https://solaranalytica.com/wa-swis-distributed-energy-2030",
  "summary": "A frozen May 2026 baseline and transparent 2030 planning envelope for small-scale solar and distributed batteries in the public SWIS extent, with source lags, evidence limits and review triggers carried beside the range.",
  "license": "Free to use with attribution to Solar Analytica (solaranalytica.com). Underlying figures are named to their public sources below.",
  "csv": "https://solaranalytica.com/reports/wa-swis-distributed-energy-2030/data.csv",
  "datePublished": "2026-07-31",
  "lastReviewed": "2026-07-31",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "CER small generation unit solar installations",
      "url": "https://cer.gov.au/document/sgu-solar-installations-2011-to-present-and-totals"
    },
    {
      "title": "CER small generation unit solar capacity",
      "url": "https://cer.gov.au/document/sgu-solar-capacity-2011-to-present-and-totals"
    },
    {
      "title": "CER small generation unit battery installations",
      "url": "https://cer.gov.au/document/sgu-battery-installations-2011-to-present-and-totals"
    },
    {
      "title": "CER small generation unit battery capacity",
      "url": "https://cer.gov.au/document/sgu-battery-capacity-2011-to-present-and-totals"
    },
    {
      "title": "ABS Postal Areas 2021 allocation file",
      "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/standards/australian-statistical-geography-standard-asgs/edition-3-july-2021-june-2026/access-and-downloads/allocation-files/POA_2021_AUST.xlsx"
    },
    {
      "title": "AEMO 2026 WEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities",
      "url": "https://www.aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/wholesale-electricity-market-wem/wem-forecasting-and-planning/wem-electricity-statement-of-opportunities-wem-esoo"
    }
  ],
  "figures": [
    {
      "id": "swis-solar-capacity-2030-envelope",
      "title": "Allocated SWIS small-scale solar capacity: observed and 2030 scenarios",
      "unit": "GW",
      "provenance": {
        "dataSource": "Clean Energy Regulator and Solar Analytica",
        "dataType": "Observed baseline and conditional scenario endpoints",
        "scope": "Public SWIS extent",
        "statistic": "Allocated certificate capacity",
        "interval": "May 2026 baseline to 2030 horizon"
      },
      "caption": "Observed May 2026 allocated CER capacity beside Solar Analytica's conditional 2030 endpoints. The lower, reference and upper cases are planning corridors, not probabilities.",
      "series": [
        {
          "label": "May 2026 observed",
          "value": 3.167
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 lower",
          "value": 3.9
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 reference",
          "value": 4.4
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 upper",
          "value": 4.8
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "swis-battery-energy-2030-envelope",
      "title": "Allocated SWIS usable battery energy: observed and 2030 scenarios",
      "unit": "GWh",
      "provenance": {
        "dataSource": "Clean Energy Regulator and Solar Analytica",
        "dataType": "Observed baseline and conditional scenario endpoints",
        "scope": "Public SWIS extent",
        "statistic": "Allocated usable battery energy",
        "interval": "May 2026 baseline to 2030 horizon"
      },
      "caption": "Observed usable battery energy beside the conditional 2030 planning envelope. The battery source history begins in July 2025, so this layer is deliberately Limited-strength evidence.",
      "series": [
        {
          "label": "May 2026 observed",
          "value": 0.934
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 lower",
          "value": 3.2
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 reference",
          "value": 5.5
        },
        {
          "label": "2030 upper",
          "value": 9.2
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}